With Rudy dropping out, Republicans are down to three – Huckabee, McCain and Romney. But the tide is beginning to turn McCain’s way – not just because he won Florida (and Romney underperformed, despite his vast fortunes), but Republicans are down to one question – which candidate can hold the White House against Clinton/Obama? (Hint: It ain’t Romney). A Rasmussen Poll says McCain leads Clinton by eight, and Obama by six. If the question is electability, Romney isn’t the answer.
Romney’s flip-flopping is going to hurt him down the stretch. Pro-choice to pro-life, avid hunter to not, pro-gay to defense of marriage, and so on. The question for anyone supporting Romney is simple: do you know what he really believes? Not what he says now, but what his convictions are?
We thought not. Flip-flop.
But more interesting (as we wrote a while ago) is the battle over superdelegates. We wrote about superdelegates before, but the mainstream press is beginning to ask a simple question: What if Clinton/Romney both lose the primary vote, but win the nomination? It could happen. All either candidate has to do is be close, and the back-room deals put them over the top.
As the Washington Post Reports:
The high-profile supporters will also play key roles in the backroom battle over superdelegates, also known as unpledged delegates. Mainly members of Congress, governors, party elders and grass-roots activists, they are free to back any candidate they choose. Clinton, former president Bill Clinton (a superdelegate himself) and their allies have been working aggressively for months to court the superdelegates, drawing on old loyalties to open a huge advantage for the senator from New York in total delegates amassed.
“One person, one vote? Forget about it. Some votes are worth more than others. You have to know the rules,” said Donna Brazile, the campaign manager for Al Gore in the 2000 presidential race and a D.C. superdelegate.
What will voters think if the person who wins the primary doesn’t get the nomination? Right now, it’s a real possibility. As the establishment picks, Clinton/Romney have a huge advantage. We’ll see how this plays out, and how voters react if their choices fail to win the nomination.